AI is going to replace most jobs and good riddance
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@Griffith AI will replace most jobs because most jobs require a business degree and knowledge of Microsoft office and are functionally useless
@Shadowman311 I can't imagine accountants existing in 10 years.
Fable came out in July, the same month as K3 and Sol. Three months later we have Opus 5.5, Astra, and K3.1. The leap in capabilities in 2-3 months should shatter anyone's previously held expectations. DeepSeek v4.1 1017 is probably responsible for the surge in critical vulnerabilities and exposures this month, given the timing. Adoption is a slower phenomenon because it's social, but I think by next year we'll have another surge of adoption like we did with the advent of agentic coding this year, and labs will continue to rock serious fields in the same manner they've been rocking mathematics this year, and software in years past.
In other words, I don't think most people have a moat over 10 years, and no one has a moat over 20 years, and both those estimates are likely unreasonably conservative. My honest opinion is both those estimates can be cut by half.
Fable came out in July, the same month as K3 and Sol. Three months later we have Opus 5.5, Astra, and K3.1. The leap in capabilities in 2-3 months should shatter anyone's previously held expectations. DeepSeek v4.1 1017 is probably responsible for the surge in critical vulnerabilities and exposures this month, given the timing. Adoption is a slower phenomenon because it's social, but I think by next year we'll have another surge of adoption like we did with the advent of agentic coding this year, and labs will continue to rock serious fields in the same manner they've been rocking mathematics this year, and software in years past.
In other words, I don't think most people have a moat over 10 years, and no one has a moat over 20 years, and both those estimates are likely unreasonably conservative. My honest opinion is both those estimates can be cut by half.
@Griffith @Shadowman311 accountants can still exist because there's no mechanical test for an allocation of money being wise, what few mechanical tests there are have already been automated. Programming has *enormous* advantages that are also nearly completely unique, that make AI useful for it.
When time travel's invented and the universe can be rolled back upon you losing money, and claude can spend a few tokens to drive that with a cli tool, not only accounts but also novelists and everything else can killed as a job. "Grok, give me a best-seller horror novel for women" can keep rolling the universe back until a book actually becomes a best-seller.
When time travel's invented and the universe can be rolled back upon you losing money, and claude can spend a few tokens to drive that with a cli tool, not only accounts but also novelists and everything else can killed as a job. "Grok, give me a best-seller horror novel for women" can keep rolling the universe back until a book actually becomes a best-seller.
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