AI is going to replace most jobs and good riddance
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@Griffith AI will replace most jobs because most jobs require a business degree and knowledge of Microsoft office and are functionally useless
@Shadowman311 I can't imagine accountants existing in 10 years.
Fable came out in July, the same month as K3 and Sol. Three months later we have Opus 5.5, Astra, and K3.1. The leap in capabilities in 2-3 months should shatter anyone's previously held expectations. DeepSeek v4.1 1017 is probably responsible for the surge in critical vulnerabilities and exposures this month, given the timing. Adoption is a slower phenomenon because it's social, but I think by next year we'll have another surge of adoption like we did with the advent of agentic coding this year, and labs will continue to rock serious fields in the same manner they've been rocking mathematics this year, and software in years past.
In other words, I don't think most people have a moat over 10 years, and no one has a moat over 20 years, and both those estimates are likely unreasonably conservative. My honest opinion is both those estimates can be cut by half.
Fable came out in July, the same month as K3 and Sol. Three months later we have Opus 5.5, Astra, and K3.1. The leap in capabilities in 2-3 months should shatter anyone's previously held expectations. DeepSeek v4.1 1017 is probably responsible for the surge in critical vulnerabilities and exposures this month, given the timing. Adoption is a slower phenomenon because it's social, but I think by next year we'll have another surge of adoption like we did with the advent of agentic coding this year, and labs will continue to rock serious fields in the same manner they've been rocking mathematics this year, and software in years past.
In other words, I don't think most people have a moat over 10 years, and no one has a moat over 20 years, and both those estimates are likely unreasonably conservative. My honest opinion is both those estimates can be cut by half.
@Griffith @Shadowman311 I doubt it. Accounting isn't about doing math and being a mechanical counter of money, at the highest level. Accountants are legally liable agents. A corporation offloading that legal accountability and legal firewall that protects the company to an LLM is retarded.
Most small businesses already do software accounting by owner so the legal burden was already on them so nothing would really change if Joe's Plumbing used LLM accounting, assuming it is legal, however.
Most small businesses already do software accounting by owner so the legal burden was already on them so nothing would really change if Joe's Plumbing used LLM accounting, assuming it is legal, however.
@wgiwf @Shadowman311 Reducing the accountant to a meatshield basically only requires someone off the street and is solely a compliance requirement that will be worked around once the position is completely redundant. There's not an infinite shelf-life on that role.
@Griffith @Shadowman311 An "AI" cannot sign an affidavit under penalty of perjury. Human accountability is going nowhere. Also numerous certifications and legal requirements are needed for accountancy. A "meatshield" is very inaccurate to describe a job which often interacts with the legal system.
@wgiwf @Shadowman311 This is essentially pushing back the question of “is AI good enough” one more step.
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@Griffith @Shadowman311 Can an AI testify in court is not a question of "is it good enough", as an accountant may need to do. An AI is not capable of testifying by nature of it not being an entity with its own memories that come from its own observation separate from information fed to it, let alone its non-personhood. Please stop confusing Sci-Fi fantasies of AI with what an LLM is.
@wgiwf @Shadowman311 This is all just pushing back the question. If the accountant becomes an AI supervisor the position you're describing is redundant.